The increased dominance and spread of the industrial agricultural production model, and the creation of new patterns of international agricultural trade and development assistance, opened up new arenas of governance in the world food economy. The same actors that were driving these trends – rich country governments, international development agencies, agrifood TNCs, and private foundations – shaped these middle spaces. Despite the crises in the world food economy that emerged in the 1970s – soaring food prices and ecological fallout from the spread of industrial modes of agriculture – this type of farming and participation in global markets have become the dominant norms, especially for international agricultural assistance.
Uneven liberalization of agricultural trade
Most governments have long protected agriculture for national security reasons, but recent decades have seen growing moves to liberalize trade and investment in this sector. In the 1980s, many developing countries were strongly encouraged to liberalize their agricultural markets under structural adjustment programs (SAPs) imposed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. Indeed, in many cases heavily indebted developing countries had little choice but to open up their agricultural trade policies under these programs, in particular to lower tariffs on imports. The widespread adoption of these policies across the developing world represented a new governance space where the rules for imports and exports in food and agriculture were set by international development agencies.
Liberalization of agricultural trade has been slower and more fitful for the rich industrialized countries. The cost for these countries of subsidizing their farm sectors had become untenable in the 1980s, leading to calls for global rules to lock in agricultural trade liberalization, including a reduction in farm subsidies. Agricultural trade had previously been exempt from international trade rules, but this changed with the 1994 Uruguay Round of trade talks which included the Agreement on Agriculture (AoA) under the World Trade Organization (WTO). As yet another new agricultural governance arena, the WTO’s AoA has had enormous influence on agricultural trade outcomes. The agreement sought to liberalize agricultural trade by encouraging a reduction in farm subsidies in rich countries – including domestic support and export promotion subsidies – in return for further opening of markets in developing countries. This agreement made some steps toward liberalization in rich countries, but it ultimately resulted in an uneven playing field that disadvantaged developing countries while maintaining significant sums of rich world subsidies.
The Doha Round of trade talks, launched in 2001, initially sought to correct the biases built into the Agreement on Agriculture. But the talks did not result in any substantive agreement, and were eventually abandoned due to deep differences among rich countries and between rich and poor countries over both subsidy levels and special treatment for developing countries. The food crisis of 2007–2008 led many countries to question their reliance on global food markets. Recent trade tensions between the United States and China have also affected global food trade patterns, leading to what many see as an abandonment of the post-war liberal trading order. In this context, a number of countries have increased their interest in promoting food self-sufficiency in the face of what they see as unfair agricultural trade rules and practices.
The rise of transnational agrifood corporations
State support for international exports of grain and the spread of large-scale agricultural production throughout much of the developing world in the 1970s enabled large transnational corporations in the agrifood sector to expand their international operations. This expansion included not just marketing their products around the world, but also global-scale sourcing and processing operations. Already engaged in extensive international food trade since the 1800s, firms in the global grain industry began to expand their operations into new markets in the 1970s. At the same time, the grain companies also began to accelerate their expansion both horizontally and vertically – acquiring firms specializing in different food commodities, and expanding up and down along the food supply chain into shipping and food processing. With the spread of the agroindustrial production model, the agricultural input industry also began to market hybrid seeds, pesticides, and fertilizers in the developing world beginning in the 1970s and 1980s, and since the 1990s the sector has consolidated and is now dominated by just a handful of firms. From the 1990s and early 2000s, retail grocery firms also began to go global, not just marketing food to consumers, but also engaging increasingly in processing and the direct acquisition of fresh foods from around the world.
In extending their global reach in this way, these corporations have actively shaped the global food system to fit their own needs. Transnational agrifood firms have been able to influence the world food economy in ways that serve their own objectives via a variety of means and through new governance spaces. These range from pricing power – that is, the power to set the prices paid to their suppliers as well as the prices consumers pay in the marketplace – to lobbying and other means of influencing government regulations that affect their business. They also include the establishment of private sector regulations that govern the global food supply chain, and taking an active role in public debates in order to shape public discourse about the role of global firms in the world food economy. Using these strategies, global food sector TNCs have been able to shape the global food system around corporate needs – moving large amounts of agricultural inputs and foodstuffs through relatively few firms – with a large number of farmers on one side, and even more consumers on the other.
The financialization of food and agriculture
The world food economy has become increasingly “financialized” – that is, it is increasingly tied to activities and trends in the financial investment sector, even though that sector is not directly concerned with the food system other than as an arena in which to earn a profit. Agricultural commodity futures markets – markets that sell a set amount of a commodity for delivery at a future date – have historically played an important role in allowing farmers and other food system operators to hedge their risks in an uncertain market due to weather and other factors that can affect prices in between planting and harvest times. Speculators have also played a role in these markets, betting on price movements and providing liquidity – that is, cash flow – for other actors in the markets. The amount of speculation allowed in these markets has historically been subject to strict regulation in order to avoid “excessive speculation” that could cause huge price swings and have undue effects on access to food.
Recent decades, however, have seen the number of speculators on these markets rise dramatically, in effect creating a new middle space in the world food economy where new norms and practices are developed. This increase in financial trading in agricultural commodity futures markets is the product of a relaxation of the regulations in the 1980s and 1990s regarding speculation in futures markets. Banks began to sell new kinds of financial investment products linked directly to movements in commodity markets to a range of large-scale institutional investors, including hedge funds and pension funds. When these actors moved into agricultural commodity futures investments in large numbers in 2007–2008, there was a sudden sharp increase in prices of food commodities. While there is fierce debate over whether speculation on these markets was a leading cause or a consequence of food price rises, there is a growing consensus that such investment has exacerbated food price volatility trends in recent years. In other words, financial investors, through this new middle space in the world food economy, have enormous influence over food price trends, even though they have very little direct interest in the actual commodities they are trading. Further, the financialization of food has also fed into large-scale foreign land acquisitions and biofuel investments, in a new nexus of activity into which financial investors have actively tapped. Financial actors are also trading new kinds of financial investment products based on the share values of some of the largest agrifood TNCs.
With What Impact?
Despite