Central to this darkening mood have been four key trends:
1 The persistent sense of dread (even in the absence of any real evidence) that brilliant machines will outpace even the most brilliant of minds.
2 The ubiquity of social media (and growing awareness of its negative impact at a micro and macro level).
3 The unholy pas de deux between “big money” and “big tech.”
4 The pervasive feeling that in aggregate, tech is making our jobs, personal lives, and even our societies somehow worse, rather than better.
Combined, these dynamics have soured the perception of technology as a force for good, and left many questioning the core tenets of technology’s role in our lives and societies.
Including, now, us. We love technology, remember? But even we are asking ourselves, “What the hell is going on?” Anyone looking at the daily news — except for the most myopic and naïve — could easily think, “Jeez, we are collectively losing our minds!”
Social conventions of privacy and courtesy are melting away. Our democratic institutions — fair elections, civil discourse — seem as quaint and distant as buggies and gas street lamps. Once cool, disruptive tech “rock stars” are being exposed as nothing more than the latest digital robber barons, propped up by easy money that arrives as an “offer you can’t refuse” with few questions attached but in reality is a clear demand to “make me a boatload more money.” Increases in aggression, depression, and self-harm are seen by some as signs that our new machines are melting our brains.
Minds, money, machines, society — together, these systems weave a complex web of history, economics, sociology, religion, law, and politics. They are all interconnected, and together they are morphing the rules of our jobs, lives, and societies in a way we haven’t seen since the First Industrial Revolution.
We can feel it, and you probably can too. While many good things are happening around us, we know we can do better. To improve, though, we must recognize the ground truth about where we are.
These dynamics have, of course, only intensified as COVID-19 has presented the greatest existential threat to our way of life since the second world war. The pandemic severed our normal social connections. In our quarantine solitude, we flocked to the Monster for comfort, fellowship, information, and distraction. Every concern about privacy and the potential dark underbelly of surveillance was swiftly and completely forgotten. In our period of extreme stress, tech became even more central to every aspect of our presence on Earth. Tech’s intrinsic strengths and flaws became more apparent as governments, institutions, corporations, and people responded (leading to unintended consequences, both good and bad).
It’s in that light that we — Paul, Ben, and the many, many colleagues, journalists, academics, clients, colleagues, pals, and family members with whom we interact — have been discussing: “What is happening? What seems to be going wrong? What should we do about it? What kind of world do we want?”
Our exploration is structured around four key pillars:
1 Capital. Tech and money are now inextricably interlinked. What has money done to tech, and what is tech doing to money? Is there any way out of a future in which money is the only thing that matters?
2 Psychology. We are already cyborgs. Our phones are never out of our hands. Soon, they will be in our glasses and inside our heads. What does this mean? Can we ever disconnect, figuratively and/ or literally? What is happening to our minds (the original, organic CPUs)? Is this exciting and good, or terrifying and a disaster?
3 Society. Tech is accelerating the compounding of winners and losers. Live in a zip code full of code? Life has never been better. Live in an analog town? Protectionism and wall building can seem like the only option. Social media echo chambers have started an uncivil war that is currently virtual and digital but could soon feature real bullets.
4 The New Machine(s). Artificial intelligence is perhaps one of the most important human inventions. We grant you your cynicism but caution that your raised eyebrows will be your undoing. AI is bigger than anything we’ve seen, and we’ve been looking at big things all our working lives. How can it not change every aspect of our world in the coming years and decades? And yet we (the collective we) still have very little grasp of what it is going to do to us.
If they weren’t entirely obvious before the pandemic, the downsides of our “wired” world are on full display now; a global 24/7 news industry (incentivized to dramatize and inflame every tweet and data point); a social media industry incentivized to amplify the “macro” “breaking news” into “micro” “freaking out”; and the unholy alliance between Mainstream Media and Social Media (Zucker and Zuckerberg) that creates a vicious cycle at which Churchill would weep. (Nobody’s keeping calm, and nobody’s carrying on.) We offer the following in the spirit of honest exploration and genuine humility, and with a sense that without good questions and dialogue, we will never find good answers. That process starts here.
In the tradition of Socrates and Plato, Watson and Crick, Mick and Keith, or Abbott and Costello, we’ve tried to capture a spirit of our own dialogue, the back-and-forth wrestling with these issues, which are some of the most complicated that humans face today.
In a few pages, we try to net out which questions are important, what we should be paying attention to, and — importantly — what must be done.2 All of the following thoughts stem from our own research, work with clients, reams of insight, and ideas from others, and hours and hours of discussion and debate between ourselves — on conference calls, in meeting rooms (and a few bars) — where we traded point and counterpoint to develop a narrative that made sense and that could help us find a healthy path ahead.
It should also be noted that in our deliberately short book, we haven’t tried to write a complete overview of technology or finance or the human psyche or societal structures. Fantastic but modestly sized books like The Prince, The Art of War, and Night don’t completely explain leadership, conflict, or evil. Rather, they each tell a “small” story to illustrate themes of nearly infinite complexity and scope. The story of the Monster is so comprehensive it would take dozens of books to “cover” everything (and would certainly still fail). Instead, we chose to create a small piece to frame one of the biggest stories of our time.
Some will undoubtedly query why we’ve chosen to focus on “x” and not “y.” This is, again, by design. Based on our prior research and work over the past years, we made the best choices we could to focus on what we feel is the most relevant and the most likely to help us out in the near term. The result is a subjective but informed take on an extremely complex set of interlocking issues.
Our hope is that by allowing ourselves this freedom, we have given ourselves permission to examine and understand the fundamentals of how the new machines are reshaping our economy, our society, even our own minds and, in doing so, get to the essence of what we all need to do to move toward a future that may not be a utopia but is far less likely to be monstrous.
Can we tame the beast?
So if, in fact, we have created a technology monster, how can we begin to tame it?
Throughout the book, you’ll find recommendations for policy makers, business