Ecology. Michael Begon. Читать онлайн. Newlib. NEWLIB.NET

Автор: Michael Begon
Издательство: John Wiley & Sons Limited
Серия:
Жанр произведения: Биология
Год издания: 0
isbn: 9781119279310
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      the columns of a life table

      The first column in each life table is a list of the stages or age classes of the organism’s life. For Gilia, these are simply the stages ‘seed’, ‘emerged plants’, and ‘flowering plants’. For the marmots, they are years. The second column is then the raw data from each study, collected in the field. It reports the number of individuals surviving to the beginning of each stage or age class (see Figure 4.9). We refer to these numbers as ax, where the x in the subscript refers to the stage or age class concerned: a0 means the numbers in the initial age class, and so on.

      In the next column, to consider mortality more explicitly, the proportion of the original cohort dying during each stage (dx ) is computed, being simply the difference between successive values of lx ; for example, for the marmots, d3 = l3l4 = 0.180 − 0.137 = 0.043. Next, the stage‐specific mortality rate, qx, is computed. This considers dx as a fraction of lx. Hence, q3 for example is 0.24 (= 0.043/0.180 or d3/l3). Values of qx may also be thought of as the average ‘chances’ or probabilities of an individual dying during an interval. qx is therefore equivalent to (1 − px ) where p refers to the probability of survival.

      The advantage of the dx values is that they can be summed: thus, the proportion of a cohort of marmots dying in the first four years was d0 + d1 + d2 + d3 (= 0.86). The disadvantage is that the individual values give no real idea of the intensity or importance of mortality during a particular stage. This is because the dx values are larger the more individuals there are, and hence the more there are available to die. The qx values, on the other hand, are an excellent measure of the intensity of mortality. For instance, in the present example it is clear from the qx column that the mortality rate declined after the first two years of life but then rose again to a peak around years 9 and 10; this is not clear from the dx column. The qx values, however, have the disadvantage that, for example, summing the values over the first four years gives no idea of the mortality rate over that period as a whole.

      k values

      fecundity schedules

      Tables 4.1 and 4.2 also include fecundity schedules for Gilia and for the marmots (the final three columns). The first of these in each case shows Fx, the total number of the youngest age class produced by each subsequent age class. This youngest class is seeds for Gilia, produced only by the flowering plants. For the marmots, these are independent juveniles, fending for themselves outside their burrows, produced when adults were between 2 and 10 years old. The next column is then said to contain mx values, which is fecundity: the mean number of the youngest age class produced per surviving individual of each subsequent class. For the marmots, fecundity was highest for eight‐year‐old females: 1.68, that is, 37 young produced by 22 surviving females. We get a good idea of the range of fecundity schedules in Figure 4.2: some with constant fecundity throughout most of an individual’s life, some in which there is a steady increase with age, some with an early peak followed by an extended postreproductive phase. We try to account for some of this variation in the next chapter.

      … combined to give the basic reproductive rate

      In the final column of a life table, the lx and mx columns are brought together to express the overall extent to which a population increases or decreases over time – reflecting the dependence of this on both the survival of individuals (the lx column) and the reproduction of those survivors (the mx column). That is, an age class contributes most to the next generation when a large proportion of individuals have survived and they are highly fecund. The sum of all the lx mx values, ∑lx mx, where the symbol ∑ means ‘the sum of’, is therefore a measure of the overall extent by which this population has increased or decreased in a generation. We call this the basic reproductive rate and denote it by R0 (‘R‐nought’). That is:

      (4.2) Скачать книгу