It was far too counterintuitive for these investors to accept the fact that they could earn above average returns at a lower cost while giving up the opportunity for extraordinary performance at a much higher cost. The extraordinary performance was much harder to get and there was no way that all of them were going to be able to succeed in finding it, but how could they admit this fact and not even try? These are very competitive people. They all went to top colleges and universities. Most attended the top business schools, obtained the prestigious CFA designation, or both. Everyone in the room was intelligent and extremely qualified. Investing can be a cutthroat business. Everyone wants to be the best investor by making the most money possible in the shortest amount of time. Unfortunately, it's just not possible for every single professional investor to be in the top echelon of the performance rankings. This can be a difficult realization to come to.
The look on the speaker's face was priceless after he finished answering the final round of angry questions from the audience. He had a smirk on his face. It was almost like he knew what was coming for many of these investors based on their reactions. He knew it was only a matter of time before market participants came around to his line of thinking. But breaking established viewpoints on the markets can be difficult for intelligent people. It's not easy to admit that there might be another way of doing things, a simpler approach.
Luckily, individual investors don't have to worry about entrenched positions from the investment industry. You don't have to try to impress anyone. You don't have to invest in the Rolls Royce of portfolios to reach your goals. A more economical, fuel-efficient model will do the trick as long as you're not worried about impressing anyone else (which you should not be). It's about getting from point A to point B, not how you get there. There are no style points when investing. There's no bonus for degree of difficulty. You don't have to signal that you invest only in the best, most exclusive strategies. No one is there to judge you or your portfolio and you don't have to compete against your peers. The most important thing is that you increase your probability for success. That's all.
Coming to this realization can be a huge weight lifted off your shoulders because, as you'll see in the next section, being in the upper echelon of investors is nearly impossible for even the professionals that do this for a living.
Institutional versus Individual Investors
Professional investors now control the markets, but it wasn't always like this. Fifty years ago, the little guy controlled the stock market, as individuals made up more than 90 percent of trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. Today those roles are reversed, as institutions handle more than 95 percent of all trades in listed stocks while trading almost 100 percent of all other investable securities. Institutional investors such as pension funds, endowments, foundations, sovereign wealth funds, and wealthy family offices have trillions of dollars at their disposal to invest.12
Warren Buffett is probably the most well-known investor to the average guy or gal on the street. Not as many individual investors know who David Swensen is. Swensen is Warren Buffett in the world of institutional money management. He's one of the greatest institutional investors of all time. Swensen literally wrote the book on the institutional investment model, called Pioneering Portfolio Management. They even call his style of portfolio management, which has been imitated by hundreds and hundreds of investment funds around the globe, the Yale Model, because he is the chief investment officer for the Yale University endowment fund. Swensen has earned Yale nearly 14 percent per year in gains since the mid-1990s, an unbelievable run of performance over two decades.
Yale's portfolio is currently valued at over $20 billion. For those wishing to replicate Swensen's success, it's worth noting the structure of Yale's endowment fund. The school brings in hundreds of millions of dollars a year in charitable donations and grants. Ivy leaguers love giving back to their alma maters. Yale has a staff of 26 fulltime investment professionals who specialize in particular areas of expertise for the portfolio. Plus, Yale is a tax-exempt organization, meaning they don't have to worry about tax implications when it comes to their portfolio decisions. They also have a time horizon of forever, more or less, as the endowment is a perpetuity to the school. Large institutions, such as Yale, have access to certain funds that most average investors can't invest in because the minimums are far too large. There are deals that the largest players in the industry are involved in that would never become available to individual investors. Large pools of capital get a foot in the door simply for having such so much money at their disposal. The scale of these funds allows them to pay less in fees as a percentage of assets through negotiations because the absolute amounts can be so large.
While it's important to distinguish between individual and institutional investors, Swensen is quick to point out that even within the rank of professional investors there is a hierarchy. In the Yale Investment Office's 2013 annual report, Swensen offered the following advice to both institutional and individual investors alike (emphasis mine):
The most important distinction in the investment world does not separate individuals and institutions; the most important distinction divides those investors that have the ability to make high-quality active management decisions from those investors without active management expertise. Few institutions and even fewer individuals exhibit the ability and commit the resources to produce risk-adjusted excess returns.
The correct strategies for investors with active management expertise fall on the opposite end of the spectrum from the appropriate approaches for investors without active management abilities. Aside from the obvious fact that skilled active managers face the opportunity to generate market-beating returns in traditional asset classes of domestic and foreign equity, skilled active managers enjoy the more important opportunity to create lower-risk, higher returning portfolios with the alternative asset classes, and private equity. Only those investors with active management ability sensibly pursue market-beating strategies in traditional asset classes and portfolio allocation to nontraditional asset classes.
No middle ground exists. Low-cost passive strategies suit the overwhelming number of individual and institutional investors without the time, resources, and ability to make high-quality decisions. The framework of the Yale model applies to only a small number of investors with the resources and temperament to pursue the grail of risk-adjusted excess returns.13
One of the biggest problems for individual investors just starting out is that they try to pursue the grail of earning higher returns with lower risks without the proper understanding of how hard it truly is to obtain. They assume that they need to use the most sophisticated investment strategies to succeed in the markets. On the flipside of that coin, those that are at the top of their game and have used the most complex approaches always seem to offer simple solutions to individual investors. In essence, they are saying, “Do as I say, not as I do.” In a way, it takes an understanding of complexity to see the beauty in simplicity. This is a painful lesson for individuals to learn on their own, which is why it's preferable to let someone else pay the tuition for you. Learn from them and try not to make the same mistakes or understand why they advise you to think and act a certain way when investing.
The middle ground that Swensen describes is a place that many investors often find themselves stuck in. They want to try to beat the market by using sophisticated strategies, but they don't have the resources or knowhow to do it. In this case, trying to be above-average leads to below-average performance. Trying too hard becomes a weight around your neck. There's no shame in admitting that truly extraordinary market performance, such as Swensen's, is difficult to achieve. What hurts most investors is trying to be extraordinary