The Case for a New Bretton Woods. Kevin P. Gallagher. Читать онлайн. Newlib. NEWLIB.NET

Автор: Kevin P. Gallagher
Издательство: John Wiley & Sons Limited
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Жанр произведения: Экономика
Год издания: 0
isbn: 9781509546558
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levels of aggregate income enjoyed in some parts of the world and to the documented falls in extreme poverty in others. But over the last three decades they have drifted a long way from the intentions of the 1944 United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference to strengthen the ability of nation states to meet progressive social and economic goals through a balanced system of international rules and actions that would mitigate the risk of mutually destructive economic behavior, foster cooperation for shared purposes, and guarantee sufficient space for governments to tailor policies to local circumstances (Ikenberry 2020). That conference, held at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, was not some cozy diplomatic conclave content to agree a set of goals and targets that promised a better world. Rather, its ambition and outcomes reflected profound shifts in political thinking and hard-fought power struggles, in particular between what Harry Dexter White, head of the United States delegation, dubbed the “coming” (the United States) and “going” (the United Kingdom) nations (Kuttner, 2018).

      But international power struggles are not just contested among national governments. As we note in the next chapter, after World War One financial interests and central bankers were quick to recover the reins of economic policy-making and advance their interests in the incipient multilateral arena. The result was an international economic regime tuned to the demands and wishes of footloose capital, ready and willing to employ austerity measures to fulfill them, and far too relaxed about the sharp rise in inequality, insecurity, and indebtedness this implied. These economic forces not only played a role in subverting the League of Nations’ fledgling efforts at international coordination as economic tensions began to mount toward the end of the 1920s, they also helped fuel the rise of right-wing populism, authoritarianism, depression, and, ultimately, war.

      The operation (and breakdown) of that same system has, moreover, accelerated the climate crisis by undercutting the possibility of large-scale public investment, spreading feelings of political neglect, and deepening the sense of anxiety on which right-wing populists, who see climate change as a hoax, have fed. The global financial crisis of 2008–9 and the Covid-19 health and economic crises have exposed the fragilities of this system. The international community has, on both occasions, failed to respond appropriately.

      As will be further elaborated in the following chapters, there are four main takeaways from Bretton Woods that, we believe, remain relevant when thinking about governance in relation to contemporary global challenges:

      1 Face up to failure. Austerity does not work; the gold standard and the outsized influence of financial interests had triggered widespread depression, insecurity, and conflict. A new order would require an ideological break with laissezfaire and adjustment through austerity.

      2 Treat markets as means not ends. Economic security, personal safety, social justice, energy choices, and political representation should not be left to the dictates of markets. Prices and property rights can help to achieve more inclusive growth and development but require complementary institutions, effective regulation, and shared values that the market doesn’t itself provide.

      3 Forge a set of shared national goals and common global interests. The international order was constructed to support the national goals of full employment and social welfare by providing five key global public goods: a stable monetary and exchange rate system; a global lender of last resort to provide liquidity to distressed nations; counter-cyclical and long-term lending; open markets’ including under recession; and a coordinated international economic policy.

      4 Nurture cooperation. Rather than ad hoc summitry and bilateral policy negotiations, a set of permanent institutions is needed to monitor, coordinate, and guide the interdependent economic system into the future.

      These ideas underpinned the creation of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), and their subsequent extensions and offspring. While far from perfect, this was a powerful attempt to globalize economic relations while maintaining sufficient policy autonomy for nation states to pursue a broad set of economic and social goals.