The Birth-Time of the World and Other Scientific Essays. John Joly. Читать онлайн. Newlib. NEWLIB.NET

Автор: John Joly
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in this rock-salt is 14,130

       million million tonnes.

      If now we can determine the rate at which the rivers supply

       sodium to the ocean, we can determine the age.[1] As the result

       of many thousands of river analyses, the total amount of sodium

       annually discharged to the ocean

      [1] _Trans. R.D.S._, 1899. A paper by Edmund Halley, the

       astronomer, in the _Philosophical Transactions of the Royal

       Society_ for 1715, contains a suggestion for finding the age of

       the world by the following procedure. He proposes to make

       observations on the saltness of the seas and ocean at intervals

       of one or more centuries, and from the increment of saltness

       arrive at their age. The measurements, as a matter of fact, are

       impracticable. The salinity would only gain (if all remained in

       solution) one millionth part in Too years; and, of course, the

       continuous rejection of salts by the ocean would invalidate the

       method. The last objection also invalidates the calculation by T.

       Mellard Reade (_Proc. Liverpool Geol. Soc._, 1876) of a minor limit

       to the age by the calcium sulphate in the ocean. Both papers were

       quite unknown to me when working out my method. Halley's paper

       was, I think, only brought to light in 1908.

      13

      by all the rivers of the world is found to be probably not far

       from 175 million tonnes.[1] Dividing this into the mass of

       oceanic sodium we get the age as 80.7 millions of years. Certain

       corrections have to be applied to this figure which result in

       raising it to a little over 90 millions of years. Sollas, as the

       result of a careful review of the data, gets the age as between

       80 and 150 millions of years. My own result[2] was between 80 and

       90 millions of years; but I subsequently found that upon certain

       extreme assumptions a maximum age might be arrived at of 105

       millions of years.[3] Clarke regards the 80.7 millions of years

       as certainly a maximum in the light of certain calculations by

       Becker.[4]

      The order of magnitude of these results cannot be shaken unless

       on the assumption that there is something entirely misleading in

       the existing rate of solvent denudation. On the strength of the

       results of another and

      [1] F. W. Clarke, _A Preliminary Study of Chemical Denudation_

       (Smithsonian Miscellaneous Collections, 1910).

      [2] _Loc. cit._

      [3] "The Circulation of Salt and Geological Time" (Geol. Mag.,

       1901, p. 350).

      [4] Becker (loc. cit.), assuming that the exposed igneous and

       archæan rocks alone are responsible for the supply of sodium to

       the ocean, arrives at 74 millions of years as the geological age.

       This matter was discussed by me formerly (Trans. R.D.S., 1899,

       pp. 54 _et seq._). The assumption made is, I believe, inadmissible.

       It is not supported by river analyses, or by the chemical

       character of residual soils from sedimentary rocks. There may be

       some convergence in the rate of solvent denudation, but—as I

       think on the evidence—in our time unimportant.

      14

      entirely different method of approaching the question of the

       Earth's age (which shall be presently referred to), it has been

       contended that it is too low. It is even asserted that it is from

       nine to fourteen times too low. We have then to consider whether

       such an enormous error can enter into the method. The

       measurements involved cannot be seriously impugned. Corrections

       for possible errors applied to the quantities entering into this

       method have been considered by various writers. My own original

       corrections have been generally confirmed. I think the only point

       left open for discussion is the principle of uniformitarianism

       involved in this method and in the methods previously discussed.

      In order to appreciate the force of the evidence for uniformity

       in the geological history of the Earth, it is, of course,

       necessary to possess some acquaintance with geological science.

       Some of the most eminent geologists, among whom Lyell and

       Geikie[1] may be mentioned, have upheld the doctrine of

       uniformity. It must here suffice to dwell upon a few points

       having special reference to the matter under discussion.

      The mere extent of the land surface does not, within limits,

       affect the question of the rate of denudation. This arises from

       the fact that the rain supply is quite insufficient to denude the

       whole existing land surface. About 30 per cent. of it does not,

       in fact, drain to the

      [1] See especially Geikie's Address to Sect. C., Brit. Assoc.

       Rep., 1399.

      15

      ocean. If the continents become invaded by a great transgression

       of the ocean, this "rainless" area diminishes: and the denuded

       area advances inwards without diminution. If the ocean recedes

       from the present strand lines, the "rainless" area advances

       outwards, but, the rain supply being sensibly constant, no change

       in the river supply of salts is to be expected.

      Age-long submergence of the entire land, or of any very large

       proportion of what now exists, is negatived by the continuous

       sequence of vast areas of sediment in every geologic age from the

       earliest times. Now sediment-receiving areas always are but a

       small fraction of those exposed areas whence the sediments are

       supplied.[1] Hence in the continuous records of the sediments we

       have assurance of the continuous exposure of the continents above

       the ocean surface. The doctrine of the permanency of the

       continents has in its main features been accepted by the most

       eminent authorities. As to the actual amount of land which was

       exposed during past times to denudative effects, no data exist to

       show it was very different from what is now exposed. It has been

       estimated that the average area of the North American continent

       over geologic time was about eight-tenths of its existing

       area.[2] Restorations