Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is Available:
9781119746607 (paperback); 9781119746614 (ePDF); 9781119746621 (epub)
Cover Design: Wiley
Cover Image: © metamorworks/Getty Images
“State-owned investment funds are the new frontier investors, larger in size, influence, and power than the traditional Wall Street of investment banks, asset managers, and hedge funds. They are the “unicorn-makers” behind the scene. Offering a series of in-depth case studies that combine broad perspectives on the tech investment world with specific national examples, this highly original book examines a vital and increasingly important relationship between governments and globalizing VC tech markets.”
– Anthony Scaramucci, Founder & Managing Partner of SkyBridge
“Ma and Downs' clear and expansive insights into these disproportionately important and yet little-known institutions will prove critical, both to practitioners in the field of investing as well as to the general public seeking answers to the big picture questions of why the new unicorns transforming their lives arose from the modern financial system.”
– Russell Read, CFA, Ph.D, former CIO for CalPERS, GIC-Kuwait, and APFC
“The private sector doesn't have the answers to a growing list of the world ‘s problems. It is the State, working through powerful institutions such as sovereign wealth funds, that has taken a key economic and investment role. Investors need to understand these state-controlled wealth funds - what they do and how they do it – and this book provides a timely update that fills a gap in the literature on global finance.”
– Dato’ Seri Cheah Cheng Hye, Co-Founder and Co-Chairman, Value Partners and Non-Executive Director, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd
“Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) lie at the intersection of finance, politics, macroeconomics, international relations. This book not only constitutes perhaps the most in-depth and insightful investigation of sovereign investors to date, but the book starts a broader debate over globalization and state economic intervention in the context of world digital revolution. Invaluable to European governments and businesses, in particular, as the EU strives to become the third tech pillar of the world next to the US and China.”
– Pierre-Yves Lucas, Head of Cooperation Mongolia, European Union and former Adviser to the CEO of the SWF of Kazakhstan
“A book that, against the backdrop of the world-altering coronavirus epidemic, provides a thoughtful guide to the role sovereign investors play in the world-changing digital transformation – and how one accelerates the other.”
– Margaret Franklin, CFA, President and CEO, CFA Institute
“This is a story about Time Machines.”
– Ajay Royan, Co-founder with Peter Thiel of Mithril VC Funds
To Angela – I love you dearly
– Winston Ma
To Rebecca, whose support has been invaluable.
– Paul Downs
Foreword
It is Time to Build the Greatest of Time Machines
This is a story about Time Machines.
No, dear reader, you did not stumble upon the science fiction aisle at the bookstore. You are, however, holding a chronicle of the hunt for their closest earthly cousins.
In this timely book, Winston Ma and Paul Downs bring to light the oft mysterious world of transformative technology startups and the burgeoning sovereign wealth funds who invest in them. Together, these constitute a group of builders and investors who have emerged as two of the biggest forces reshaping the world as we know it. Their origins are diverse, but their evolution has many parallels. And their future, and ours, is intertwined in more ways than anyone anticipated.
Over a nearly two-decade career in tech and investing, I have come to appreciate that every great technology startup is in fact a Time Machine, the fruit of a tribe of mad-genius progenitors intent on hurtling us into the future. Most fail, and almost all are unprecedented by popular opinion. When they succeed, however, they famously remake whole industries for a generation or two.
As this book goes to press, seven of the ten largest companies on earth by market capitalization are tech giants domiciled in the United States and China: Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Facebook, Alibaba, and Tencent. Even a decade ago, that list would have been significantly varied to include energy, financial, and industrial leaders such as Exxon, ICBC, GE, and Citi. Today, the only non-tech companies in the top-ten are Berkshire Hathaway, Visa, and Johnson & Johnson.
Largely ignored by Wall Street after the 2000 Dotcom Bust, these startups managed to thrive with the quiet backing of a new generation of investors, themselves often startup founders who took pride in being founder centric. There was, and is, a strong element of community spirit among the best founders and their funding partners — you paid the favor forward, and in turn found yourself working with kindred spirits conspiring to brilliantly pull forward the future. There exists an equal measure of what one might call constructive paranoia, that no matter how successful one's enterprise might become, there is always lurking a competitor that mustn't be underestimated. After all, the venerable Microsoft and Apple had to be completely reinvented before they could take their spots on that list. Amazon, for its part, is famously obsessed with “Day 1”. As founder Jeff Bezos emphasized in his 2016 shareholder letter, “Day 2 is stasis. Followed by irrelevance. Followed by excruciating, painful decline. Followed by death. And that is why it is always Day 1.”
Much has changed already for those who would build to last.
As Peter Thiel pithily outlined in Zero to One, today's tech markets are defined above all by a winner-take-all dynamic. Victory belongs to the “last-mover”, the first company to innovate and get something “just right”, which almost never is the first company to enter the category. At the zenith, the sum of the value of all the competitors in a given category often adds up to less than that of the dominant leader. And what's more, it takes at least a decade to incubate and mature such winners.
As a result, today's winners are seemingly more mature, definitely much larger, and yet imbued with an awkward, permanent adolescence that belies their power. Gone are the shotgun IPOs and retail market boomlets. They've been replaced by vast sums of private capital fleeing depressed interest rates for the promise of enduring growth. And once successful, each of these champions begets well-funded corporate treasuries and large cohorts of successful employees, both of which become engines to fund yet another generation of transformative ideas.
Today's tech leaders are also more global, both in their reach and in their origins. Silicon Valley might host an outsized proportion of startups, but it is increasingly a state of mind divorced from location. And here lies a bigger story. For tech startups are scarcely the only time machines in this chronicle.
Before