Security Council Resolutions are meticulously negotiated documents because they are binding on all member states of the United Nations. The way that council members vote and their justifications for that vote illustrate the degree to which the resolution is supported by each state, making the resolution a useful measure of areas of Security Council agreement, or lack thereof. Presidential statements are advisory rather than binding but they are consensus documents, as are the formal mission reports of the UNSC. This means that the content and wording of each of these texts has received the unanimous approval of council members before being publicly issued. I examine two types of evidence found in these documents: Security Council decisions about the use of military force in cases of mass atrocity; and debates about, and justifications for, humanitarian intervention or its absence across the entire set of cases. By analyzing these texts and comparing them to actual Security Council behavior, I demonstrate how the discourse of Security Council members produces opportunities for humanitarian intervention. Finnemore asserts that “when states justify their interventions, they draw on and articulate shared values and expectations that other decision makers and other publics in other states hold. Justification is literally an attempt to connect one’s actions with standards of justice, or perhaps more generically, with standards of appropriate and acceptable behavior.”64 The arguments of council members and their justifications for humanitarian intervention provide clues about the normative context in which decisions about humanitarian intervention are made in addition to illustrating how the practice is discursively constructed as legitimate.
A Theory of Causal Stories
Security Council texts rely on formulaic presentations, therefore it is easy to identify systematic patterns of problem definition and the policy solutions that flow from them. Through a method of content analysis that carefully examines Security Council discourse, I generated a typology of causal stories that explains how council members struggle to control interpretations of conflicts and how the narratives they advance open and foreclose the possibility of using military force in defense of human rights. These frames, which I call causal stories—a concept that I borrow from public policy scholar Deborah Stone65—are created, changed, and contested in the UNSC. They compete against alternatives until one becomes predominant. The predominant causal story has direct implications for Security Council decision making about the use of military force.
In order to trace the emergence and diffusion of Security Council stories, I analyze the signification processes of its members using predication analysis, which focuses specifically on the “language practices of predication—the verbs, adverbs and adjectives that attach to particular nouns.”66 I study how predications construct nouns like conflict, war, and human rights violations as a particular type of conflict, war, and human rights violation. For example, Security Council deliberations alternately describe the situation in Darfur as an “ethnic conflict,” “tribal war,” or “genocide.” The fighting is characterized by “civilian casualties,” “ethnic cleansing,” or “chaos.” I create a list of the predications that are attached to threats to international peace and security that the Security Council constructs—wars, conflicts, and human rights violations—and clarify the relationships between them; both what distinguishes how these subjects are constructed and how these constructions are related to each other.67
Policy debate, including the deliberations among Security Council members, presumes that to solve a political problem, it is necessary to find its root cause or causes.68 Causal arguments, then, are at the heart of problem definition in international politics. “Causal theories,” Stone argues, “like other modes of problem definition, are efforts to control interpretations and images of difficulties. Political actors create causal stories to describe harms and difficulties, to attribute them to actions of other individuals and organizations, and thereby to invoke government power to stop the harm. Like other forms of symbolic representation, causal stories can be emotionally compelling; they are stories of innocence and guilt, victims and oppressors, suffering and evil.”69 Through their statements, Security Council members are telling stories to one another, domestic publics, and third-party states about the conflicts on their agenda. These stories describe the causes and character of conflicts and attribute blame for human rights violations. Research across the eight cases examined in this study reveals that Security Council members regularly articulate three types of stories that explain the cause of conflicts characterized by mass atrocity crimes: intentional, inadvertent, and complex (see Table 1.1). They are called causal stories not because they have a direct causal link to subsequent council action (though discourse makes certain courses of action more likely than others) but because they are stories about causation—about the cause of conflict and the character of violence within that conflict.
Intentional causal stories explain situations where “action was willfully taken by human beings in order to bring about the consequences that actually happened.”70 They identify a specific actor or actors as responsible for knowingly and willingly causing harm to others, making it a story of perpetrators and victims. Intentional stories are the most effective type of story for changing perceptions of harm from the realm of fate to the realm of political agency because they identify a plausible candidate to take responsibility for the problem.71 When applied to situations of conflict, intentional stories detail systematic repression where conflict is largely one-sided and premeditated. These stories characterize human rights violations as deliberate, targeted, and widespread because perpetrators are conceived of as having direct control over their actions. There are three constituent elements of an intentional story when applied to conflict situations: identification of an intentional perpetrator, characterization of the violence as deliberate and naming it in a way that demonstrates this intentional character, and identification of a targeted victim group. Genocide, ethnic cleansing, and aggression display characteristics of an intentional story, particularly when they identify perpetrators and name victims. Because violence is characterized as both deliberate and systematic, the policy implications of an intentional story focus on interdiction of violence and protection from harm because there is a perpetrator that can be stopped or a single point of leverage to address the problem. Punishment and accountability are also likely because the harms imposed are perceived as flagrant violations of widely accepted international legal norms. The intentional causal story corresponds to a specific normative script in international relations—that of international law and specifically international humanitarian law and international human rights law.72 The norms of justice and accountability anchor the intentional story and give rise to interpretations of state sovereignty that privilege a minimal level of state responsibility for human rights.
Table 1.1. Discourse Analysis of Security Council Records
Inadvertent causal stories recount situations where purposeful action has foreseen but unintended consequences. In situations of conflict, inadvertent stories describe situations where two or more parties are involved in a cycle of violence and reprisal in which deaths can be predicted but are not the purpose of the conflict. There is a perceived moral equivalency between parties to the conflict who are mutually culpable for human rights violations that are expected, as collateral damage, but result from indiscriminate action